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	<title>Comments on: Animated Flooding Maps &#8211; Storm Surge, Sea Level Rise And River Flooding</title>
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	<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding</link>
	<description>Exploring the world of free tools for GIS, GPS, Google Earth, neogeography, and more.</description>
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		<title>By: M.D. Dalton</title>
		<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding/comment-page-1#comment-458</link>
		<dc:creator>M.D. Dalton</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Dec 2008 21:05:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freegeographytools.com/?p=178#comment-458</guid>
		<description>Hey there; really fascinating program, I wondered if you could help me. I&#039;m doing research for a book about possible cataclysmic world flood scenarios, and I&#039;ve been looking for some information on possible topography changes etc. I have found http://merkel.zoneo.net/Topo/Applet/ which was helpful but not detailed enough, just wondering if you had any idea where to look if I wanted to find out what the earth would look like with a sea-level rise of more than 2,000 meters? Anything at all would be helpful, thank you.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey there; really fascinating program, I wondered if you could help me. I&#8217;m doing research for a book about possible cataclysmic world flood scenarios, and I&#8217;ve been looking for some information on possible topography changes etc. I have found <a href="http://merkel.zoneo.net/Topo/Applet/" rel="nofollow">http://merkel.zoneo.net/Topo/Applet/</a> which was helpful but not detailed enough, just wondering if you had any idea where to look if I wanted to find out what the earth would look like with a sea-level rise of more than 2,000 meters? Anything at all would be helpful, thank you.</p>
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		<title>By: Animated Flooding Maps - Storm Surge, Sea Level Rise And River Flooding &#171; If Earth Could Speak</title>
		<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding/comment-page-1#comment-457</link>
		<dc:creator>Animated Flooding Maps - Storm Surge, Sea Level Rise And River Flooding &#171; If Earth Could Speak</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 19:16:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freegeographytools.com/?p=178#comment-457</guid>
		<description>[...] http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flood... [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] <a href="http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flood.." rel="nofollow">http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flood..</a>. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Segundo novo estudo da NASA, o relatório do IPCC pode estar a ser absurdamente optimista + at Quinta do Sargaçal</title>
		<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding/comment-page-1#comment-456</link>
		<dc:creator>Segundo novo estudo da NASA, o relatório do IPCC pode estar a ser absurdamente optimista + at Quinta do Sargaçal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Aug 2007 15:38:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freegeographytools.com/?p=178#comment-456</guid>
		<description>[...] Mapas animados de inundações Para ter uma ideia do que são 25m de aumento do nível do mar, veja-se a animação de Manhattan &#8212; bastam uns 11m para a submergir totalmente. Free Geography Tools. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Mapas animados de inundações Para ter uma ideia do que são 25m de aumento do nível do mar, veja-se a animação de Manhattan &#8212; bastam uns 11m para a submergir totalmente. Free Geography Tools. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Leszek Pawlowicz</title>
		<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding/comment-page-1#comment-455</link>
		<dc:creator>Leszek Pawlowicz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 16:19:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freegeographytools.com/?p=178#comment-455</guid>
		<description>ForestRanger,&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The posting talks about flooding from a variety of causes, including storm surge. 8 meters is roughly the level of the record storm surges estimated for Katrina, though they don&#039;t know for sure because many of the tidal gauges were destroyed. See &lt;a HREF=&quot;http://www.magazine.noaa.gov/stories/mag178.htm&quot; REL=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;this NOAA article&lt;/a&gt; for more info.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;I don&#039;t know where you got the 10 cm/century figure for sea level rise, but it&#039;s not correct. Measured rates of sea level rise using the &lt;a HREF=&quot;http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/426.htm&quot; REL=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;TOPEX satellites&lt;/a&gt; indicate a rate of about 2-3 mm/year, and as the earth gets warmer, this rate is expected to accelerate by as much as 2-5 times due to the time lag between the atmosphere warming and the deep oceans. The most recent IPCC report on climate change puts the maximum sea level rise by 2100 at about 80 cm. But this report has been criticized because it hasn&#039;t taken the latest data on &lt;a HREF=&quot;http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6179409.stm&quot; REL=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;sea level rise factors&lt;/a&gt; into account, like increased melting rates and ice flow in both Greenland and Antarctica. Over the past 50 years, predictions of future sea level rise have always underestimated the actual numbers.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;Then there are the very low probability events, like the melting of the entire Greenland ice cap (which adds about 6.5 meters), and the collapse of the west Antarctic ice shelf (another 6 meters or so). These are highly unlikely, but not impossible; combine these with the factors mentioned above, and 8 meters actually looks pretty good. Of course, then you get to add an additional possible 8 meters of rise from a storm surge on top of that. Global warming &lt;a HREF=&quot;http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/04/shear-turbulence/&quot; REL=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;may (or may not)&lt;/a&gt; increase the intensity and number of hurricanes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ForestRanger,</p>
<p>The posting talks about flooding from a variety of causes, including storm surge. 8 meters is roughly the level of the record storm surges estimated for Katrina, though they don&#8217;t know for sure because many of the tidal gauges were destroyed. See <a HREF="http://www.magazine.noaa.gov/stories/mag178.htm" REL="nofollow">this NOAA article</a> for more info.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know where you got the 10 cm/century figure for sea level rise, but it&#8217;s not correct. Measured rates of sea level rise using the <a HREF="http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/426.htm" REL="nofollow">TOPEX satellites</a> indicate a rate of about 2-3 mm/year, and as the earth gets warmer, this rate is expected to accelerate by as much as 2-5 times due to the time lag between the atmosphere warming and the deep oceans. The most recent IPCC report on climate change puts the maximum sea level rise by 2100 at about 80 cm. But this report has been criticized because it hasn&#8217;t taken the latest data on <a HREF="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6179409.stm" REL="nofollow">sea level rise factors</a> into account, like increased melting rates and ice flow in both Greenland and Antarctica. Over the past 50 years, predictions of future sea level rise have always underestimated the actual numbers.</p>
<p>Then there are the very low probability events, like the melting of the entire Greenland ice cap (which adds about 6.5 meters), and the collapse of the west Antarctic ice shelf (another 6 meters or so). These are highly unlikely, but not impossible; combine these with the factors mentioned above, and 8 meters actually looks pretty good. Of course, then you get to add an additional possible 8 meters of rise from a storm surge on top of that. Global warming <a HREF="http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/04/shear-turbulence/" REL="nofollow">may (or may not)</a> increase the intensity and number of hurricanes.</p>
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		<title>By: ForestRanger</title>
		<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding/comment-page-1#comment-454</link>
		<dc:creator>ForestRanger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 12:58:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freegeographytools.com/?p=178#comment-454</guid>
		<description>I&#039;d like to know why you used 8 meters for your analysis.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;8 meters of sea level rise would take 8,000 years using global average sea level rise (10 cm / century), and 2,600+ years in the Chesapeake region (.21 cm/year land subsidence + global sea level rise).  Of course we would expect large changes in sea level over time scales that long; sea level was ~120 meters lower at the peak of the Wisconsin Ice Age ~15,000 years ago.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;d like to know why you used 8 meters for your analysis.</p>
<p>8 meters of sea level rise would take 8,000 years using global average sea level rise (10 cm / century), and 2,600+ years in the Chesapeake region (.21 cm/year land subsidence + global sea level rise).  Of course we would expect large changes in sea level over time scales that long; sea level was ~120 meters lower at the peak of the Wisconsin Ice Age ~15,000 years ago.</p>
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		<title>By: Frank Taylor</title>
		<link>http://freegeographytools.com/2007/animated-flooding-maps-storm-surge-sea-level-rise-and-river-flooding/comment-page-1#comment-453</link>
		<dc:creator>Frank Taylor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 May 2007 12:24:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://freegeographytools.com/?p=178#comment-453</guid>
		<description>Nice article Leszek!  Too bad there wasn&#039;t a Google Earth file from this, or I would write about it at GEB.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice article Leszek!  Too bad there wasn&#8217;t a Google Earth file from this, or I would write about it at GEB.</p>
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